This is the overall graph because I now have a regular job again and am no longer playing full time. As it shows, I’ve been break-even for about 350,000 hands. That is almost half of the total number of hands, and about one third of the total number of months.
I can’t add the All-in EV line to the total graph, because for a large section at the start the hand-histories did not contain hole-cards for opponents’ hands if they were allowed to muck without showing, meaning it was biased towards including hands that the hero had lost. Anyone determined to estimate it could look through the individual months. Broadly, I think I was roughly even at the end of ’09, ran 5-figures below EV in no time at all, and then ran above EV during the rest of the year to finish well ahead. That means that the results from the latter third of months are worse than they appear.
The chart shows an indication of bankroll management at work. Variance clearly drops at about 580,000 hands and again at about 730,000 hands, limiting the downside of the bad run to an amount that looks fairly negligible overall.
I had practically stopped playing by the beginning of October, when I started considering getting a qualification in case I needed a real job soon. I bought the materials for the Professional Risk Manager qualification, and the small bets I made that I could pass it in 5 weeks are probably my only gambling income since then. I thought it was quite a fitting designation for a professional gambler (or ironic, depending on your philosophy towards gambling).
I started work on the 7th December, so that’s the end of the professional poker player blog. At the moment I can’t imagine wanting to play online poker again, but I’ll still play live occasionally and may write about the odd tournament. If I get around to it and think that anybody would be interested I might upload some of my GTO-modelling spreadsheets, as I’d be interesting to see if other poker experts thing they are useful, and if they could be adapted to some different applications.
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December 16th, 2010 at 8:15 pm
gl sir
December 30th, 2010 at 3:51 pm
It’s a scary tale for the rest of us, that a guy who did so well has been unable to beat the games anymore.